Cabinet Member
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Key Characteristics
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Challenges
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Guesstimate on future performance
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Theresa May, Prime Minister
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Perhaps it is true that she is a “safe pair of hands”. Mostly middle-of-the-road, probably no push-over. Her key position is: “Brexit means Brexit”. She will hence comply with the majority vote of the referendum
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Bridge the gap between Brexiteers and Non-Brexiteers, Give the appearance of moderation to the British EU exit when in reality that exit is a historic and radical game changer, i.e. anything but moderate
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No doubt the British are the best diplomats and the best soothers and calmers in the world. And yet, it is hard to see how she can continuously fool her peers in the rest of the world about the dramatic nature of the policy she is enacting on the ground.
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Philip Hammond, Chancellor of the Exchequer
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Of exactly the same mold as Theresa May. Middle-of-the- Road, safe pair of hands etc… He will have to be the PM’s most important wingman when it comes to unifying the cabinet
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Follows the very convincing George Osborne who has already done the heavy-lifting with respect to austerity. Hammond is so grey and dull that he is perfect to fool the rest of the world about the supposed normality of Brexit policies
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He will have a harder time to sell belt-tightening to the disgruntled British public. He will have to spend money in order to sooth the anti- austerity front. Financial markets will probably not like that. And EU peers won’t like it if he turns the EU into a fiscal paradise. In other words, a pretty impossible job he has on his hands here.
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Boris Johnson Foreign Secretary
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The joker is back. His ploy is supposedly about Britannia. Could be about himself too.
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Make Britain seem sexy again anywhere in the world outside the EU. I.e. be funny, entertaining, media savvy and good party sport.
He can do that. He will also have to shut up when the cabinet decides on policy. He may be able to do that.
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Can he develop a solid working relationship with his EU colleagues? Probably not. But then again, he will probably not care too much about that anyway. In the US, India and all that he will come across as interesting and different. Will score media attention points. Who knows whether he will be taken seriously by his government peers in the Non-EU-world?
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Amber Rudd Home Secretary
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She has charisma and is bright. Her trajectory is impressive. She would probably be a better fit in the Foreign Office.
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Avoid scandals that are prone to happen in an unwieldy Scotland Yard bureaucracy. It is probably easier for a woman to beat that bureaucracy into discipline
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She may very well be the only cabinet member that will come out untarnished if the May administration implodes under the impossible task it has.
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Michael Fallon, Defense Secretary
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Of the same mold as Theresa May and Philip Hammond. Already a Cameron appointee in subject position
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He will have to be another unifier inside the cabinet. On military matters, he will have to continue the “falling in line with NATO” –business. Currying favor to the special US-UK relationship will be even more important now
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He is a little out of the Brexit limelight. Will likely have to spend more on defense to make the US happier given that Britain can longer hide in the low-spending EU pack. Markets will probably not like the less stringent focus on austerity, his ministry will advocate for.
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David Davies, Secretary of State for Exiting the EU
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Supposedly the tough negotiator-type, albeit with the gentle veneer of Britishness. A Brexit believer, i.e. someone who has no clue about the damaging historic dynamic he is unleashing.
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Drive divisions into the EU and exploit them and thereby turn the entire EU into a mess.
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He may well succeed with this divisive approach of his. It is an open question whether there is anyone in the cabinet who can moderate the more toxic elements of his “destroy-the- EU” approach.
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Liam Fox, Secretary of State for International Trade
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Another Brexiteer. More like Davies than like Johnson.
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Make love to India, China, Brazil etc… If Britain is being turned into a fiscal paradise he will have an easy job at hand. If the government cannot get the economy going he may well be sidelined internationally
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Can Britain get the economy going given that they have to soothe the Brexit voters in the North and spend more money in order to make Non- EU partners more inclined to look towards Britain? Can Britain afford to lower corporate tax rates while having to spend more on international goodwill towards the UK? Will financial markets buy into the balancing act between austerity and profile raising expenses? Fox’s success will depend on the outcome of these questions
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