Noah denkt™ - The Power of Balanced Reasoning
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It is not the economy, stupid! It's about Britannia !!
De-constructing what is at the heart of the British debate on EU membership, first drafted on April 18,
published April 21, 2016

    And here comes Hurst! He's got...
    (Wolstenholme gets distracted by some of the crowd spilling onto the pitch)
    Some people are on the pitch! They think it's all over!
    (Geoff Hurst scores to put England two goals ahead against West Germany)
    It is now, it's four!
    Original TV Commentary in the dying minutes of the 1966 FIFA World Cup Final
    Kenneth Wolstenholme, BBC  (source: Wikipedia)

On April 16 campaigning for Britain's referendum on EU membership has officially started and we are now two
months away from it. As it looks now, the in-campaigners will largely base their case on economic concerns
claiming that a Brexit would entail considerable market access risks for British exporters which, in turn, could
jeopardize the solidity of Britain’s economic recovery. There may be some minor merit to this argument but
Noah denkt™ can’t help but feel uneasy about such reasoning. After all, it cannot be denied that countries like
Switzerland or Norway face little or no negative repercussions from being outside of subject EU. Likewise, it
should also be clear to the out-campaigners that no legal barrier nor border control will ultimately stop the
migration flows that push people from the Southern hemisphere into the North. Both parties in this referendum
debate should, hence, recognize that the heart of the matter which they are going to decide upon on June 23 is
a psychological, cultural, and yes, emotional one. And that emotional conundrum can best be summed up as
follows:  Will Britain have more inner strength, more international appeal and more cultural shine if it keeps
itself a tad bit apart from the boring mingling of grayish equals in Brussels, or is it more likely to turn itself into a
somewhat ignored oddity because of that peculiar retreat?

Obviously, nobody can say for sure whether this or that outcome will ultimate come true.  However, there are
some secondary, external guesstimates against which the probability of the various outcomes can be
measured. Noah denkt™ would like to offer a few of these subset issues for your consideration. And perhaps
we can do Mr. Johnson a favor by putting the Churchill perspective first.

Let us, hence, ask ourselves to begin with if India and its vast emerging market is more likely to increase its
sense of belonging, proximity and loyalty to the British cultural brand after a possible Brexit? Or is it instead
more likely that current trends will prevail and the Commonwealth will continue its gentle slide towards
irrelevance? This question is significant because of the undeniable importance that India and the East India
Company have traditionally had for the appeal of Perfidious Albion in the world.  And in our humble view, it is
probably more accurate to presume that India will henceforth continue to define itself in a more assertive,
independent manner rather than positioning itself as an also-ran in the traditional Commonwealth line-up.

Now, this brings us to Australia and New Zealand. What about them? Will they adhere more fervently to the
core brand of Britannia after a Brexit? After all, it is the sheer size of their Asian neighbors which should
naturally reinforce both countries' national interest in maintaining a close link with the sophisticated and white
Alma Mater back in the North. Or is it in turn more likely that the digital economy, - here too - , will ultimately
erase all traditional cultural patterns of unity and togetherness? - Well, it is probably fair to assume that the
answer to this is more mixed than it was in the India case. And, yes, Rugby and its idiosyncrasies may well play
an important part in the heightened Southern hemisphere sense of belonging. But then again, it is also quite
reasonable to assume that Rugby fans will show a stiff upper lip with respect to their faith in traditional British
values, no matter what, - with or without a Brexit.
So let’s, therefore, go closer to home and contemplate the future post-Brexit role of the Royal Navy. This is
important since there is probably no other institution that has contributed more to the awe that foreigners have
historically felt towards Britain than the Royal Navy. Anyone who hence wants to raise Britain’s profile in the
world will be hard pressed to avoid building-up the country’s military reach again.  And the ensuing question
therefore is: Is it more likely after or before a Brexit that the Royal Navy will be able to resume its erstwhile role
of being the great guarantor of both, Europe’s balance of power on one hand and the rule of law on the High
Seas on the other? Or is it to the contrary not more reasonable to presume that the British Military will continue
to be a welcome supplement to an otherwise overwhelming US deployment but nothing more than that? Is it
truly conceivable that British Forces will any time soon make their presence felt somewhere in the world without
a meaningful NATO cover? Probably not!. So what does that tell us about the likelihood of Britain shining
brighter again in the international arena after it has removed itself from the EU?

Granted, military might isn't everything. There is soft power too. So,it is clearly worthwhile to evaluate whether
the British entertainment industry could once again fill the void which the Royal Navy has left behind.. Don’t
forget the British invasion of US and World pop charts in the 60s and early 70s. Clearly that was a very special
moment of undisputed British reign basically everywhere. But how likely is it that such a cultural invasion could
happen again once the country starts focusing more on its inner strength rather than on selling out to the
Brussels crowd? - Well, the sad answer is that not even the London Games of 2012 with all their media hype
have done much to propel Britannia back into the limelight. And this in turn may have a lot to do with the fact
that on a world-wide scale, it isn't just the UK but the entire European continent that has become a pretty boring
place to be. In “Brideshead Revisited (Penguin Books, 1984)”, Evelyn Waugh has his hero Charles Ryder make
a brief comment on New York:
“I looked at my watch; it was four o’clock, but neither of us was ready to sleep for
in that city there is neurosis in the air which the inhabitants mistake for energy.”(page 219)
 Well, the sad truth
is that Europe has by and large succeeded to take all neurosis out of the air, so that there is precious little
energy left by now. And no Adele, no Amy Winehouse, no Coldplay and no Daniel Craig will be able to change

Obviously, one could go and on like this. But by now, you have surely gotten where we are coming from. So in
conclusion, we would like to leave you with just one final thought. Ask yourself whether you are more likely to
fall for a somewhat tired beauty that keeps her suitors at arm’s length? Or is it more probable that you will
eventually lose patience with her since you are by now too accustomed to instantaneous gratification? Once
you have figured that out you will surely be able to tick the appropriate box on June 23 with a cool, calm and
collected heart.
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encourage the user to understand that he alone is responsible for determining whether any investment, security or strategy is
appropriate or suitable for him. And to leave no doubt as to what this means we urge our user to also note our extended

Britain's referendum on EU membership, the appeal of Britannia in the world, the
emotional core of Britain's EU debate, the core brand of British culture, the real
reasons for Britain's unease inside the European Union, prospects for Britain
after a Brexit, prospects for Britannia after leaving the EU