Category Archives: Economics

US Voters tell pundits and analysts that any complacency about the future is dramatically mistaken

The results of the US presidential primaries in Indiana mark a watershed moment not only for US politics. For the first time in recent US history voters have rejected in dramatic fashion the TARP-like effort from the media and political establishment to rescue subject establishment from defeat in the GOP Primary. Continue reading

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Dumping the Trump: Why we step back from our earlier endorsement

Tweet A change of heart on the Republican Primary Candidate Donald Trump, (originally published on April 7, 2016) This wasn’t an easy decision. And it does indeed feel like a defeat. But the latest suggestion of GOP Candidate Donald Trump … Continue reading

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Donald: Slapping tariffs on imported goods isn’t the answer, educational reform is!

Tweet Noah denkt™ clarifies its endorsement of the 2016 GOP frontrunner, Donald Trump, first published on Feb 26, 2016 “Ford announces a few weeks ago that Ford is going to build a $2.5 billion car and truck and parts manufacturing … Continue reading

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The Federal Reserve’s rate hike dance

Prices in Silicon Valley are way beyond the 2% inflation target of the Federal Reserve. Continue reading

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Accept a haircut in turn for a Grexit

The sad truth continues to be that Greece remains far, far away from being competitive enough to afford a Euro currency. Continue reading

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Paul Singer’s Reality Check

“Nobody can predict how long governments can get away with fake growth, fake money, fake jobs, fake financial stability, fake inflation numbers and fake income growth”, says Paul Singer of Elliott Management Corp. He is right. Current economic figures are in deed misleading Continue reading

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She is not hawkish on inflation

It appears as if Federal Reserve Chairwoman Yellen is more concerned with steering the economy towards full employment rather than keeping inflation down. This is problematic since it is quite doubtful whether we will ever reach the traditional notion of full employment again. Continue reading

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More crony capitalism

The fact that stock exchanges who are expected to work as co-regulators rent server space within their own computers to flash traders in order to provide them with faster access to trading data is outrageous. It blatantly violates the equal access rule. Continue reading

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At what point does Money Printing go toxic?

The argument that central banks should not shrink their balance-sheets to “normal”, i.e. pre-crisis levels but leave larger amounts of liquidity in the system for stability’s sake is wrong. It would in deed turn what once was a legitimate policy requirement into a very damaging morale hazard. Continue reading

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The Psychology of an Erupting Massive Fear

Professor Kotlikoff’s analysis of the systemic risk which the 207 trillion US$ public debt is posing to the US bond market is correct. We are no sure, however, whether the danger of that bond market flipping is as imminent as Mr. Kotlikoff has us believe. Continue reading

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